How India and its Neighbors are doing during Covid-19 Pandemics- A Critical Analysis
Pankaj Agarwal1, Sapna Yadav2, Juhi Chaudhary3
1Pankaj Agarwal, Professor & Head, Department of Computer Science & IMS Engineering College, Ghaziabad, (U. P.), India.
2Sapna Yadav, Assistant Professor, Department of Computer Science & IMS Engineering College, Ghaziabad, (U. P.), India.
3Juhi Chaudhary, Assistant Professor, Department of Computer Science & IMS Engineering College, Ghaziabad, (U.P.), India.
Manuscript received on August 01, 2020. | Revised Manuscript received on August 05, 2020. | Manuscript published on September 30, 2020. | PP: 75-79 | Volume-9 Issue-3, September 2020. | Retrieval Number: 100.1/ijrte.C4261099320 | DOI: 10.35940/ijrte.C4261.099320
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© The Authors. Blue Eyes Intelligence Engineering and Sciences Publication (BEIESP). This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
Abstract: The prime objective of this work is to understand how India & its neighbors are doing during the ongoing period of Covid-19 pandemics. We have used the web crawlers to find specific data of India from official website www.mohfw.gov.in. We also referred to a dataset of global cases from Gitub for our work. We have analyzed the covid19 cases from 22/1/2020 till 1/5/2020. We applied a time series prediction model to forecast the possible deaths for next five days. We have taken into account six of our neighbors excluding China to understand how India is doing in comparison to our neighbors. We observed that considering the size of India population India has done fairly well. However the number of increasing cases in India particularly in the month of May needs a serious call from Indian Govt. We have presented the outcomes of our work through different kinds of comparisons & analysis. He have presented the prediction of next ten days for India & its neighbors for the duration 4/5/2020 to 13/5/2020
Keywords: Covid-19, SARIMA model, Prediction Analysis, Time Series, Indian Neighbors.